Document Type
Thesis or dissertation
Date of this Version
5-4-2020
Advisor
Jean Lemaire
Abstract
Since the 1990s, when opioids started to be grossly over-prescribed, almost 450,000 people have died as a direct result of opioid abuse in the United States. This study analyzes the role the opioid crisis has in the decreasing life expectancy in the United States, a troubling trend given the enormous and growing national healthcare expenditure. Employing a multiple decrement model and national life expectancy tables, this paper removes the opioid-related mortality and develops a new life expectancy model. The actuarial analysis of the observed and estimated life expectancies reveals the impact of opioid-related deaths: overall, U.S persons are losing 153 days of life. For some groups of the population the situation is even worse, such as for non-Hispanic white males whose life expectation is reduced by 261 days.
Keywords
Opioids, life expectancy. multiple decrements, United States, actuarial analysis
Recommended Citation
Lozano, G. (2020). "The Opioid Crisis And Life Expectancy In The U.S.," Joseph Wharton Scholars. Available at https://repository.upenn.edu/joseph_wharton_scholars/88
Additional Files
All copy.xlsx (134 kB)All Males copy.xlsx (100 kB)
All Females copy.xlsx (70 kB)
Hispanic Males copy.xlsx (70 kB)
Hispanic copy.xlsx (70 kB)
Hispanic Females copy.xlsx (76 kB)
Non-Hispanic White copy.xlsx (69 kB)
Non-Hispanic White Male copy.xlsx (71 kB)
Non-Hispanic White Female copy.xlsx (68 kB)
Non-Hispanic Black copy.xlsx (71 kB)
Non-Hispanic Black Male copy.xlsx (70 kB)
Non-Hispanic Black Female copy.xlsx (70 kB)
Date Posted: 23 June 2020