This paper evaluates how well team performance can be predicted by member turnover within the team. With the increased use of teams in organizations, it is important for businesses to understand how they function, especially when one member of the team leaves. This paper investigates how member turnover affects team success, and examines if there are differences in team success following turnover depending on if the turnover is voluntary or involuntary. The methodology involves collecting characteristic information regarding tenure about a subset of musical groups and examining their group success rates with varying types of turnover using a regression analysis.

Through regression, this paper finds that teams with involuntary turnover seem to have better success than teams with voluntary turnover or no turnover, but these results need to be examined further. This paper concludes that team success can somewhat be predicted by member turnover. Beyond music composition and performance, these results can be applied to any team setting, especially those experiencing some form of member turnover during their tenure.