Wharton Pension Research Council Working Papers
 

Document Type

Working Paper

Date of this Version

2-7-2019

Abstract

Using an incentivized survey and a representative sample of investors, we elicit ambiguity attitudes toward a familiar company stock, a local stock index, a foreign stock index, and a crypto currency. We separately estimate ambiguity aversion (ambiguity preferences) and perceived ambiguity levels (perceptions about ambiguity), while controlling for unknown likelihood beliefs. We show that ambiguity aversion is highly correlated across different assets and can be summarized by a single underlying factor. By contrast, individuals’ perceived ambiguity levels differ depending on the type of asset and cannot be summarized by a single underlying factor. Perceived ambiguity is mitigated by financial literacy and education, while the preference component is correlated with risk aversion. Perceived ambiguity proves to be related to actual investment choices, validating our measure. Finally, our results imply that policies enhancing financial literacy and knowledge of financial markets can help stimulate equity market participation and reduce inequality, as these reduce peoples’ perceived levels of ambiguity about financial assets.

Comments

This project received funding from NETSPAR, Wharton School’s Pension Research Council/Boettner Center, and Labex Ecodex. The authors thank Stephen Dimmock and Peter Wakker for helpful comments. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not represent the official views of the TIAA Institute, the Wharton School’s Pension Research Council/Boettner Center, or the individuals named above.

Keywords

Ambiguity, decision-making under uncertainty, investment, preferences, financial literacy

JEL Code

D81, C93, D14

Working Paper Number

WP2019-2

Included in

Economics Commons

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Date Posted: 12 February 2019