Marketing Papers

Document Type

Journal Article

Date of this Version

10-2016

Publication Source

PS: Political Science & Politics

Volume

49

Issue

4

Start Page

687

Last Page

690

DOI

10.1017/S1049096516001281

Abstract

The PollyVote applies a century-old principle of combining different evidence-based methods for forecasting the outcome of American presidential elections. In this article, we discuss the principles followed in constructing the PollyVote formula, summarize its components, review the accuracy of its previous forecasts, and make a prediction for this year's presidential election.

Copyright/Permission Statement

This article has been published in a revised form in PS: Political Science & Politics [http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1049096516001281]. This version is free to view and download for private research and study only. Not for re-distribution, re-sale or use in derivative works. © 2016 American Political Science Association.

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Date Posted: 15 June 2018

This document has been peer reviewed.