Date of this Version
PS: Political Science & Politics
The PollyVote applies a century-old principle of combining different evidence-based methods for forecasting the outcome of American presidential elections. In this article, we discuss the principles followed in constructing the PollyVote formula, summarize its components, review the accuracy of its previous forecasts, and make a prediction for this year's presidential election.
This article has been published in a revised form in PS: Political Science & Politics [http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1049096516001281]. This version is free to view and download for private research and study only. Not for re-distribution, re-sale or use in derivative works. © 2016 American Political Science Association.
Graefe, A., Jones, R. J., Armstrong, J. S., & Cuzán, A. G. (2016). The PollyVote Forecast for the 2016 American Presidential Election. PS: Political Science & Politics, 49 (4), 687-690. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1049096516001281
Date Posted: 15 June 2018
This document has been peer reviewed.