Acts 20 & 22: Assessing the Effectiveness of Fiscal Incentives in Puerto Rico

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Puerto Rico
tax policy
tax incentives
fiscal policy
synthetic controls
difference-in-differences
synthetic difference-in-differences
inverse probability of treatment weighting
Econometrics
Finance
Finance and Financial Management
Growth and Development
Latin American Studies
Taxation
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Abstract

In January 2012, the Puerto Rican government created Acts 20 and 22, the Export Services and Individual Investors Acts, which respectively grant preferential tax treatment to export-oriented service firms and to individual investors who relocate to Puerto Rico. This paper uses data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages and synthetic difference-in-differences to evaluate their impact on employment, establishments, and wages. It fails to find evidence suggesting that they had an impact on employment beyond 2012. However, it finds evidence that Acts 20 and 22 successfully incentivized the professional, scientific, and technical services industry. By 2015, the year in which the policies’ impact on the service sector peaked, they increased employment by 23.1% and wages by 19.7%. While the point estimates suggest that the policies successfully incentivized the service industry, they do not suggest more than a minimal impact on overall economic activity.

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Daniel G. Garrett
Date of degree
2021-01-01
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