Retirement Replacement Rates: What and How

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Penn collection
Wharton Pension Research Council Working Papers
Degree type
Discipline
Subject
Funder
Grant number
License
Copyright date
Distributor
Author
Biggs, Andrew G
Contributor
Abstract

Replacement rates compare retirement income to pre-retirement earnings. They are used both by financing advisors in advising households on how much to save for retirement, and by policymakers who wish to assess the adequacy of retirement saving in the population. But in recent years, there has been renewed discussion of how replacement rates should be calculated. I discuss three topics in this current debate. First, should policymakers be presented with replacement rates based upon stylized workers or using administrative or microsimulation data? Second, should the denominator of the replacement rate calculation—pre-retirement earnings—be adjusted for the growth of prices or the growth of economy-wide wages? And third, should replacement rates incorporate a family-size adjustment to account for how having children affects parents’ need to save for retirement? I illustrate the effects of these methodological choices using a microsimulation model of Social Security benefits and employer-sponsored pensions. The results suggest that much of the disagreement over whether Americans face a ‘retirement challenge’ or a ‘retirement crisis’ stems not from differing estimates of how much income American retirees will have, but of how much income they will need to maintain their pre-retirement standards of living.

Advisor
Date Range for Data Collection (Start Date)
Date Range for Data Collection (End Date)
Digital Object Identifier
Series name and number
Publication date
2015-08-07
Volume number
Issue number
Publisher
Publisher DOI
Journal Issue
Comments
The published version of this Working Paper may be found in the 2016 publication: Retirement System Risk Management (https://pensionresearchcouncil.wharton.upenn.edu/retirement-system-risk-management-2/).
Recommended citation
Collection