Exploring the Relationship Between Bitcoin and Inflation Expectations: An Empirical Analysis

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Penn collection
The Wharton School::Wharton Undergraduate Research::Wharton Research Scholars
Degree type
Discipline
Business
Subject
Cryptocurrency
Finance
Funder
Grant number
Copyright date
2023
Distributor
Related resources
Author
Krakower, Ross H.
Contributor
Abstract

This paper explores the relationship between Bitcoin and inflation expectations. More specifically, this paper seeks to understand how inflation expectations impact and move with Bitcoin prices and returns. As cryptocurrencies soared in both popularity and value over the last three years to become a mainstay in global macroeconomics, it remains important to understand how macroeconomic factors such as inflation expectations impact this asset class. Bitcoin is worth examining in particular because of all cryptocurrencies it has the greatest market capitalization and is also the most frequently traded. Using historical data on Bitcoin prices and relevant measures for inflation expectations, this study uses regression analyses and cointegration tests to explore the relationship between Bitcoin and inflation expectations. The regression analyses reveal that inflation expectations are a statistically significant predictor of Bitcoin prices. Cointegration tests reveal that inflation expectations and Bitcoin prices share a long-term equilibrium relationship, albeit one that is not relatively strong.

Advisor
Date Range for Data Collection (Start Date)
Date Range for Data Collection (End Date)
Digital Object Identifier
Series name and number
Publication date
2023-05-01
Volume number
Issue number
Publisher
Publisher DOI
Journal Issue
Comments
Recommended citation
Collection