Medicaid LTSS Spending and Participation: Data Sources and Insights

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Degree type

Discipline

Health and Medical Administration
Public Affairs, Public Policy and Public Administration
Public Health

Subject

Medicaid
data quality
Home and community based services
spending
enrollment
long-term care
long-term services and supports
waivers
state plans

Funder

We are grateful to the Laura J. Arnold Foundation for funding this work as part of the project, “Building an Evidence Base to Improve the Value of Home and Community Based Services.”

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Copyright date

2025-12-11

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Author

Arp, Patrick C.
White, Lindsay
Meara, Ellen
Ne’eman, Ari

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Abstract

Each year, state Medicaid programs are required to make choices about how best to apportion limited Medicaid dollars for long term services and supports (LTSS). The statutory framework under which Medicaid LTSS operates allows states to develop and implement LTSS programs tailored to the specific needs and circumstances of their beneficiaries. The resulting variability in programs presents an opportunity to identify program designs and policies that offer the best value – high-quality, accessible LTSS services that are financially sustainable. But, in concert with evidence on benefits of LTSS, key to determining value is accurate longitudinal data on how much states are spending on LTSS and what that spending buys. This paper examines the three primary sources of data on state Medicaid LTSS expenditures and beneficiaries: periodic reports submitted by states to the federal government, data from the Medicaid Statistical Information System (both the legacy system and the current, transformed system), and state surveys. We summarize the purpose and content of each data source, describe their strengths and limitations, and highlight the reliable data points from each that may be used by policymakers and researchers. We also describe significant trends in LTSS spending and beneficiaries that can be gleaned from the existing data.

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Series name and number

Population Center Working Paper (PSC/PARC), 2025-124

Publication date

2025-12-11

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Recommended citation

Arp, Patcrick C., Lindsay White, Ellen Meara, Ari Ne’eman, and Norma B. Coe. 2025. “Medicaid LTSS Spending and Participation: Data Sources and Insights.” University of Pennsylvania. Population Center Working Papers (PSC/PARC), 2025-124.

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