Information Inertia

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ambiguity aversion
Knightian uncertainty
informational efficiency
information inertia
inattention to news
public information
momentum
predictability
Finance and Financial Management

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Abstract

We study how information about an asset affects optimal portfolios and equilibrium asset prices when investors are not sure about the model that predicts future asset values and thus treat the information as ambiguous. We show that this ambiguity leads to optimal portfolios that are insensitive to news even though there are no information processing costs or other market frictions. In equilibrium, we show that stock prices may not react to public information that is worse than expected and this mispricing of bad news leads to profitable trading strategies based on public information.

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2013-01-28

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