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Behavior, Society, and International Conflict
"May you live in interesting times," runs the legendary Chinese curese. These are interesting times: almost anything can happen except a return to the delicate but enduring balance between two blocs that marked international relations for nearly half a century after World War II. The possibilities include nuclear war, not in the form of the long-feared mutual destruction of the Soviet Union and the United States, but as a last resort in the course of escalating regional conflicts in the Middle East or South Asia. In the aftermath of the 1991 Gulf War, United Nations inspectors found evidence of strong steps toward the production of nuclear weapons in Iraq, a country whose leaders did not hesitate to rain missiles on noncombatant Israel during their struggle to hold Kuwait; the same science is available to many other small, rich despots throughout the world. While the chances that two of the world's largest countries would annihilate each other simultaneously have surely receded, the risk of nuclear war has by no means vanished.
p. 3-7, Behavior, Society, and International Conflict: Volume Three edited by Tetlock, P.E., Husbands, J.L., Jervis, R., Stern, P.C., & Tilly, C., 1993, reproduced by permission of Oxford University Press: https://global.oup.com/academic/?cc=us&lang=en&
Tetlock, P.E. et al. (1993). Introduction. In Tetlock, P.E., Husbands, J.L., Jervis, R., Stern, P.C., & Tilly, C. (Eds.), Behavior, Society, and International Conflict: Volume Three, 3-7. Oxford University Press.
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Date Posted: 25 October 2018