Date of this Version
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control26
The subjective distribution of growth rates of aggregate consumption is characterized by pessimism if it is first-order stochastically dominated by the objective distribution. Uniform pessimism is a leftward translation of the objective distribution of the logarithm of the growth rate. The subjective distribution is characterized by doubt if it is a mean-preserving spread of the objective distribution. Pessimism and doubt both reduce the riskfree rate and thus can help resolve the riskfree rate puzzle. Uniform pessimism and doubt both increase the average equity premium and thus can help resolve the equity premium puzzle.
© 2002. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
Abel, A. B. (2002). An Exploration of the Effects of Pessimism and Doubt on Asset Returns. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control26, 26 (7-8), 1075-1092. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1889(01)00040-9
Date Posted: 27 November 2017
This document has been peer reviewed.