Finance Papers

Document Type

Journal Article

Date of this Version

2006

Publication Source

Journal of Monetary Economics

Volume

53

Issue

1

Start Page

59

Last Page

84

DOI

10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.10.009

Abstract

To compute risk-adjusted returns and gauge the volatility of their portfolios, lenders need to know the covariances of their loans’ returns with aggregate returns. We use unique credit bureau data to measure individuals’ ‘covariance risk’, i.e., the covariance of their default risk with aggregate consumer default rates, and more generally to analyze the distribution of credit, including the effects of credit scores. We find significant heterogeneity in covariance risk across consumers. Also, the amount of credit they obtain significantly increases with their credit scores, and decreases with their covariance risk (especially revolving credit), though the effect of covariance risk is smaller.

Copyright/Permission Statement

© 2006. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.

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Date Posted: 27 November 2017

This document has been peer reviewed.