Date of this Version
The Journal of Finance
When utility is nonseparable in nondurable and durable consumption and the elasticity of substitution between the two consumption goods is sufficiently high, marginal utility rises when durable consumption falls. The model explains both the cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns and the time variation in the equity premium. Small stocks and value stocks deliver relatively low returns during recessions, when durable consumption falls, which explains their high average returns relative to big stocks and growth stocks. Stock returns are unexpectedly low at business cycle troughs, when durable consumption falls sharply, which explains the countercyclical variation in the equity premium.
This is the peer reviewed version of the following article, which has been published in final form at http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00848.x. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving.
Yogo, M. (2006). A Consumption-Based Explanation of Expected Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 61 (2), 539-580. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00848.x
Date Posted: 27 November 2017
This document has been peer reviewed.