Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Penn collection
Finance Papers
Degree type
Discipline
Subject
Finance
Finance and Financial Management
Funder
Grant number
License
Copyright date
Distributor
Related resources
Author
Bansal, Ravi
Yaron, Amir
Contributor
Abstract

We model consumption and dividend growth rates as containing (1) a small long-run predictable component, and (2) fluctuating economic uncertainty (consumption volatility). These dynamics, for which we provide empirical support, in conjunction with Epstein and Zin's (1989) preferences, can explain key asset markets phenomena. In our economy, financial markets dislike economic uncertainty and better long-run growth prospects raise equity prices. The model can justify the equity premium, the risk-free rate, and the volatility of the market return, risk-free rate, and the price–dividend ratio. As in the data, dividend yields predict returns and the volatility of returns is time-varying.

Advisor
Date Range for Data Collection (Start Date)
Date Range for Data Collection (End Date)
Digital Object Identifier
Series name and number
Publication date
2005-01-01
Journal title
The Journal of Finance
Volume number
Issue number
Publisher
Publisher DOI
Journal Issue
Comments
Recommended citation
Collection