Plan Selection in Medicare Part D: Evidence From Administrative Data
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Economics, Medical
Foster Home Care
Home Care Services
Homes for the Aged
Hospitalization
Housing
Humans
Skilled Nursing Facilities
Utilization Review
Medicare
prescription drugs
health insurance demand
administrative data
insurance claims data
Health Economics
Health Services Research
Insurance
Other Medicine and Health Sciences
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Abstract
We study the Medicare Part D prescription drug insurance program as a bellwether for designs of private, non-mandatory health insurance markets, focusing on the ability of consumers to evaluate and optimize their choices of plans. Our analysis of administrative data on medical claims in Medicare Part D suggests that fewer than 25% of individuals enroll in plans that are ex ante as good as the least cost plan specified by the Plan Finder tool made available to seniors by the Medicare administration, and that consumers on average have expected excess spending of about $300 per year, or about 15% of expected total out-of-pocket cost for drugs and Part D insurance. These numbers are hard to reconcile with decision costs alone; it appears that unless a sizeable fraction of consumers place large values on plan features other than cost, they are not optimizing effectively.