The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?

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dc.contributor.authorGreen, Kesten
dc.contributor.authorArmstrong, J. Scott
dc.date2023-05-16T23:36:44.000
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-22T23:44:08Z
dc.date.available2023-05-22T23:44:08Z
dc.date.issued2005-10-01
dc.date.submitted2006-06-17T11:18:17-07:00
dc.description.abstractIraq continues to be in the news and confronts us with important questions about the predictability of decisions people make in conflict situations. For some, the plan to invade Iraq was based on poor forecasts about how troops would be received: reasonable people would not have made optimistic forecasts. Others, however, assert that it is hindsight bias that makes the prognosis so clear.
dc.description.commentsReprinted from Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Issue 2, October 2005, pages 50-52. Publisher URL: http://ideas.repec.org/s/for/ijafaa.html Permission granted by publisher to author.
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.upenn.edu/handle/20.500.14332/39620
dc.legacy.articleid1012
dc.legacy.fulltexturlhttps://repository.upenn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1012&context=marketing_papers&unstamped=1
dc.source.issue47
dc.source.journalMarketing Papers
dc.source.statuspublished
dc.titleThe War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?
dc.typeArticle
digcom.contributor.authorGreen, Kesten
digcom.contributor.authorisAuthorOfPublication|email:armstrong@wharton.upenn.edu|institution:University of Pennsylvania|Armstrong, J. Scott
digcom.identifiermarketing_papers/47
digcom.identifier.contextkey174776
digcom.identifier.submissionpathmarketing_papers/47
digcom.typearticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
relation.isAuthorOfPublication23e4ecd3-2c1e-4a2e-b1d7-f8c2c3427fb3
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery23e4ecd3-2c1e-4a2e-b1d7-f8c2c3427fb3
upenn.schoolDepartmentCenterMarketing Papers
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