A Strategy-Proof Test of Portfolio Returns
Loading...
Penn collection
Statistics Papers
Degree type
Discipline
Subject
Statistics and Probability
Funder
Grant number
License
Copyright date
Distributor
Related resources
Author
Foster, Dean P
Young, H. Peyton
Contributor
Abstract
Traditional methods for analyzing portfolio returns often rely on multifactor risk assessment, and tests of significance are typically based on variants of the t‐test. This approach has serious limitations when analyzing the returns from dynamically traded portfolios that include derivative positions, because standard tests of significance can be ‘gamed’ using options trading strategies. To deal with this problem we propose a test that assumes nothing about the structure of returns except that they form a martingale difference. Although the test is conservative and corrects for unrealized tail risk, the loss in power is small at high levels of significance.
Advisor
Date Range for Data Collection (Start Date)
Date Range for Data Collection (End Date)
Digital Object Identifier
Series name and number
Publication date
2012-01-01
Journal title
Quantitative Finance