Sports Sentiment and Stock Returns

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Finance Papers
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Finance
Finance and Financial Management
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Edmans, Alex
García, Diego
Norli, Øyvind
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This paper investigates the stock market reaction to sudden changes in investor mood. Motivated by psychological evidence of a strong link between soccer outcomes and mood, we use international soccer results as our primary mood variable. We find a significant market decline after soccer losses. For example, a loss in the World Cup elimination stage leads to a next-day abnormal stock return of −49 basis points. This loss effect is stronger in small stocks and in more important games, and is robust to methodological changes. We also document a loss effect after international cricket, rugby, and basketball games.

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2007-01-01
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The Journal of Finance
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