Introduction

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Penn collection
Management Papers
Degree type
Discipline
Subject
Defense and Security Studies
Emergency and Disaster Management
Energy Policy
International Relations
Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods
Military and Veterans Studies
Peace and Conflict Studies
Policy History, Theory, and Methods
Science and Technology Policy
Soviet and Post-Soviet Studies
Terrorism Studies
Funder
Grant number
License
Copyright date
Distributor
Related resources
Author
Tetlock, Philip E
Husbands, Jo L
Jervis, Robert
Stern, Paul C
Tilly, Charles
Contributor
Abstract

"May you live in interesting times," runs the legendary Chinese curese. These are interesting times: almost anything can happen except a return to the delicate but enduring balance between two blocs that marked international relations for nearly half a century after World War II. The possibilities include nuclear war, not in the form of the long-feared mutual destruction of the Soviet Union and the United States, but as a last resort in the course of escalating regional conflicts in the Middle East or South Asia. In the aftermath of the 1991 Gulf War, United Nations inspectors found evidence of strong steps toward the production of nuclear weapons in Iraq, a country whose leaders did not hesitate to rain missiles on noncombatant Israel during their struggle to hold Kuwait; the same science is available to many other small, rich despots throughout the world. While the chances that two of the world's largest countries would annihilate each other simultaneously have surely receded, the risk of nuclear war has by no means vanished.

Advisor
Date Range for Data Collection (Start Date)
Date Range for Data Collection (End Date)
Digital Object Identifier
Book title
3
Series name and number
Publication date
1993
Volume number
Issue number
Publisher
Publisher DOI
Journal Issue
Comments
Recommended citation
Collection