On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends

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Finance Papers
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Economics
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Finance and Financial Management
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Binsbergen, Jules H. van
Brandt, Michael W
Koijen, Ralph
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We present evidence on the term structure of the equity premium. We recover prices of dividend strips, which are short-term assets that pay dividends on the stock index every period up to period T and nothing thereafter. It is short-term relative to the index because the index pays dividends in perpetuity. We find that expected returns, Sharpe ratios, and volatilities on short-term assets are higher than on the index, while their CAPM betas are below one. Short-term assets are more volatile than their realizations, leading to excess volatility and return predictability. Our findings are inconsistent with many leading theories.

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2012-06-01
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American Economic Review
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At the time of publication, author Jules van Binsbergen was affiliated with the Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University. Currently, he is a faculty member in the finance Department of the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.
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