Volatility, the Macroeconomy, and Asset Prices

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Penn collection
Finance Papers
Degree type
Discipline
Subject
Finance
Finance and Financial Management
Macroeconomics
Funder
Grant number
License
Copyright date
Distributor
Related resources
Author
Bansal, Ravi
Kiku, Dana
Shaliastovich, Ivan
Yaron, Amir
Contributor
Abstract

How important are volatility fluctuations for asset prices and the macroeconomy? We find that an increase in macroeconomic volatility is associated with an increase in discount rates and a decline in consumption. We develop a framework in which cash flow, discount rate, and volatility risks determine risk premia and show that volatility plays a significant role in explaining the joint dynamics of returns to human capital and equity. Volatility risk carries a sizable positive risk premium and helps account for the cross section of expected returns. Our evidence demonstrates that volatility is important for understanding expected returns and macroeconomic fluctuations.

Advisor
Date Range for Data Collection (Start Date)
Date Range for Data Collection (End Date)
Digital Object Identifier
Series name and number
Publication date
2014-12-01
Journal title
The Journal of Finance
Volume number
Issue number
Publisher
Publisher DOI
Journal Issue
Comments
Recommended citation
Collection